La deuda nacional de Estados Unidos ha superado los 14 billones de dólares por primera vez, informa el sitio web del Departamento del Tesoro de EE. UU.
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Etiqueta: DESCONFIANZA
ESTADOUNIDENSES DESCONFÍAN SOBRE LA ESTABILIDAD DE SU ECONOMÍA
A tres años del inicio de la crisis global, los estadounidenses siguen hoy pesimistas sobre el estado de su economía, principalmente por las dificultades del mercado laboral, reseñó este domingo la agencia de noticias Prensa Latina.
Según un estudio del Instituto Conference Board, la confianza del consumidor en esta nación bajó en diciembre 52,5% puntos, desde los 54,3% precedentes.
La investigación atribuyó el resultado a las preocupaciones generadas por el elevado desempleo, cercano al 10%.
Igualmente la valoración del mercado laboral por parte de los consumidores empeoró, pues el índice de “trabajos difíciles de conseguir” subió a 46,8%, mientras que el de “trabajos abundantes” cayó a 3,9%.
Analistas opinaron que la situación es especialmente preocupante en un país donde la actividad de los compradores representa el 70% de la economía nacional.
Explicaron que la tendencia se mantendrá porque los estadounidenses restringirán los gastos para ahorrar más, pagar sus deudas y mejorar el estado de sus finanzas.
Mientras se mantenga la modalidad de cautela, es difícil tener un crecimiento saludable, apuntaron.
De acuerdo con la Oficina de Análisis Económico de Estados Unidos, resulta preocupante el hecho de que gran parte de la actual demanda se cubra con productos importados.
Precisó que mientras no se recuperen los pedidos de servicios y productos nacionales, es poco probable una reducción significativa del desempleo.
Como si fuera poco, algunos expertos estiman que las preocupaciones existentes también se manifestaron en el cambio de voto a favor del Partido Republicano en las elecciones legislativas de noviembre.
Los resultados denotaron una clara falta de confianza en las políticas aplicadas hasta ahora para hacer frente de manera convincente a los problemas económicos del país, afirmaron.
El propio presidente Barack Obama, reconoció que no se crean los puestos de trabajo necesarios para enfrentar la elevada desocupación, para lo cual consideró indispensable impulsar el crecimiento empresarial.
Reiteró la urgencia de acelerar el avance, mediante los recortes de impuestos a la clase media y la extensión de los subsidios a los cesantes.
Con dos años en el poder, el alto desempleo sigue siendo uno de los principales retos para la administración Obama y una de las principales causas de la reticencia de los consumidores.
Fuente/AVN
La confianza del consumidor en esta nación bajó en diciembre 52,5% puntos, desde los 54,3% precedentes. Analistas opinaron que la situación es especialmente preocupante en un país donde la actividad de los compradores representa el 70% de la economía nacional
ESTADOUNIDENSES SIGUEN SIN CREER EN LA RECUPERACIÓN ECONÓMICA
Prensa Latina / IAR Noticias
10/11/09
10/11/09
La mayoría de los estadounidenses seguirán sin creer en la recuperación de su país, solo posible cuando baje la tasa de desempleo y haya un crecimiento económico sostenido de tres por ciento, aseguraron economistas y analistas.
Integrantes de la firma de investigación Decision Economics consideraron que la mayor economía del mundo seguirá en el limbo, pese a un incremento del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) de 3,5 en el tercer trimestre.
Luego de cuatro trimestres negativos consecutivos, el alivio alcanzado entre julio y septiembre puede ser la antesala de un estancamiento en los próximos meses, señaló el economista de esa institución Cary Leahey,
Ahora la economía podría estancarse durante varios meses en una tierra de nadie en la que el PIB crece, pero nadie afirmará con certeza que la recesión oficialmente terminó, por la forma en que están definidos los ciclos de negocios en Estados Unidos.
Por mucho tiempo el gobierno estadounidense y la comunidad económica reconocieron a un panel de académicos junto a la oficina nacional de investigación económica (NBER) como árbitro para definir los ciclos de negocios.
El NBER no define una recesión, como sí lo hacen otros países, mediante una caída del PIB durante dos trimestres consecutivos.
Para esa entidad una recesión se confirma por un declive significativo del conjunto de la economía, visible en el PIB, ingresos reales, empleo, producción industrial y ventas mayoristas y minoristas.
En esa situación lo más complicado es el aumento constante del desempleo, que en octubre alcanzó la sorpresiva tasa de 10,2 por ciento, lo cual en la población significa que se extiende la recesión.
Leahey prevé una ralentización en el PIB de dos por ciento en el cuarto trimestre, pues el crecimiento del tercero fue resultado de una reconstitución de los stocks, luego de grandes recortes de producción y de estímulos gubernamentales insostenibles.
El presidente de la Reserva Federal, Ben Bernanke, explicó que técnicamente la crisis parece haber terminado, pero la economía aún tendrá dificultades por las difíciles condiciones del crédito y del desempleo.
El NBER declaró la recesión el 1 de diciembre de 2008, un año después de iniciado el declive y pese al modesto crecimiento en el último trimestre de 2007 y el segundo trimestre de 2008.
Al respecto, el presidente del departamento de economía de la Universidad de California en Los Angeles, Roger Farmer, señaló que el NBER probablemente declarará que la recesión terminó en mayo de 2009.
A WORLD IN TURMOIL
by Mark Finley
Let’s pray together….. Father in heaven, thank You so much for the grace of God. Thank You, Father, that when we were lost through Jesus You reached out to save and redeem us. Father, tonight, as we talk about the world, a world in deep trouble, grant to us eyes to see and ears to hear and hearts to comprehend the reality of the coming of our Lord, to bring hope to this world. In Christ’s name. Amen.
Our topic tonight is «A World in Turmoil, Is Mankind’s End Really Near?»…..
Pilots have a very difficult time navigating if the airport they’re flying into is nestled in the mountains. In fact, on a clear day it can be difficult to land, but if that clear day changes to fog, the dangerous approach becomes even more dangerous. In December of 1995, an American Airlines pilot was flying into Cali in the interior of Colombia. As he flew in, his worst nightmare occurred. The cloud levels were low. The airport was fogged in. It was necessary for him to make an instrument landing and to have clear signals from the control tower. The individual at the control tower spoke Spanish. The American Airlines pilot spoke only English. And as they attempted to communicate, there was a miscommunication. Now, we can’t be exactly sure why the accident took place, but when the FAA investigated, they discovered that there was a garbled message. The airline pilot misunderstood the message, and in the deep fog, banked into the mountains. The plane crashed, and everybody aboard was killed! A garbled message, a misunderstood message, led to a fatality.
Indeed, Planet Earth is spinning through space at some 66,000 miles an hour. The fog is thick. The runway approach before the final touchdown of earth is treacherous. Indeed, it’s important to have signals of where we are and to understand the signs just before that final approach. Jesus’ final message to mankind is a message of hope. It’s a message that speaks to men and women in a society where there is deep trouble. In fact, Jesus said this to His disciples, as He sat on the Mount of Olives: «Let not your heart be troubled.» (John 14:1) Then He went on to say, «Ye believe in God, believe also in Me. In My Father’s house are many mansions: if it were not so, I would have told you. I to go prepare a place for you. And if I go and prepare a place for you,» Jesus said, «I will come again and receive you unto Myself; that where I am, there ye may be also.» So Jesus said, when you see wars, when you see conflict, when you see strife, when you see famine and earthquake and pestilence, when you see rising crime and violence, when you see difficulties on earth, let not your heart be troubled.
So, Jesus’ message is one that lifts us above what we see. It lifts us above the morning news. It focuses us on the event that’s just about to take place. Jesus said, «I WILL come again,» not ‘maybe’ I’ll come again, not ‘perhaps’ I’ll come again. Jesus’ statement is clear. «I WILL come again.»
Later, seated on the Mount of Olives, Jesus looked over the city of Jerusalem, and He pointed to the temple, that great magnificent temple. And Jesus said that when the Roman armies attacked Jerusalem, they would not leave one stone upon the other. The disciples, looking down at the temple, thought that an event as cataclysmic as the destruction of the temple, an event as earth-shattering as the destruction of the Jewish temple, must surely be the end of the world.
They sat there as Jesus described the Roman armies coming down to attack Jerusalem, an event that would take place in 70 AD. As the disciples heard of that event, they said to Jesus, «Master, we have a question for You.» «Yes?» Jesus responded, as He always does graciously to our questions. They said, «Tell us, when will these things be?» When would Jerusalem be destroyed?
When would Titus’ army come down? When would that destruction occur? And then they said, «What will be the sign of Your coming and the end of the age?» You see, the disciples thought that any event that was as earth-shattering as the destruction of Jerusalem must be the end of the world. So, they said to Jesus, «What will be the sign of Your coming in the end of the age?» Jesus then, in a masterful presentation, described signs that would occur in the first century, that would lead up to the destruction of Jerusalem by Roman soldiers under Titus. Then Jesus outlined to those disciples the fact that those signs in miniature in the first century would be on a universal, global scale in the last century.
Now, let me insert this: Tonight, we’re going to look at the signs Jesus gave of His soon return. And as we look at these signs, you might be led to ask a question. Your question might be, «Haven’t those signs been present in the world since the first century?» Indeed, they have. Jesus said that they would be in miniature in the first century, then be in every century. Then you say, «What’s the difference then? How could they be signs of the end?» Today, those signs are occurring with increasing magnitude. Today, they’re occurring on a universal scale. Today, they are occurring together all at the same time. So it’s not that these signs never occurred before, it is their frequency. It is their increased tempo. It is the fact that they all are happening in one generation. What are those signs, those signs of Jesus’ return, those signs that Christ gave because the disciples said, «What shall be the sign of your coming? And the end of the world?»
Jesus said these signs will occur! Christ lists more than 20 different ones, and tonight we’re going to look at the 15 major signs of Christ’s return…..
1 – False christs and false prophets
Jesus began by talking about false christs and false prophets. He said, in fact, in Matthew 24:5,11,24: «For false christs and false prophets shall arise.» Jesus said just before His return, there would be an explosion of interest in psychic phenomena, an explosion of interest in the ‘new age’ movement, an explosion of interest in the occult, an explosion of interest in the paranormal, an explosion of interest in things like astrology. In fact, there are over 3,000 astrology columns in North American newspapers!
Today I was talking a little earlier to our translators, translating this message into German, Romanian, Yugoslavian, Croatian and Serbian, talking to the translators from Europe and around the world…..and I said to them, «Is there an upsurge of interest in your country in astrology, in the occult, in the ‘dark’ sciences?» They said, «Yes, those occult magical arts are exploding in our countries!» Indeed, 3,000 astrology columns in newspaper!
You know, a friend of mine, Ralph Blodgett, in the (formerly ‘These Times’) now ‘Signs of the Times’ magazine, did a survey of astrologers’ predictions. This is what he discovered: He studied 250 specific published predictions of the astrologers. He found that less than 3%, or 6 out of 250, might be reasonably listed as fulfilled, but that 97% missed the mark completely! Now, look, I don’t care who you are, but I think you could guess better than that! What do you say, friend? Jesus said there would be an explosion of interest in psychic phenomenon, an explosion of interest in the occult arts.
You know, I live in Thousand Oaks, California, not far from Hollywood…..and there is a rage now in Hollywood. Many of the Hollywood personalities have really troubled lives. They have marriages that are in deep trouble. Many of them have problems with alcohol, drugs, and other problems…..it’s well-known in Hollywood that many of the Hollywood personalities have these problems, and so alot of them are turning now to spirit guides to tap into the occult or spiritualistic or ‘new age’ movement. One rage in Hollywood is seeking spirit guides like Mafu, Ramtha and Lazaris. This spirit guide, Lazaris, has a two-year waiting list for private consultations at $93 an hour! And now you can ‘reach out and touch’ Lazaris by phone and have $53 billed to your credit card! I don’t recommend it, friend, and neither does Jesus.
We have a sure word of guidance in God’s word, but these are indications of the coming of Jesus: false christs and false prophets. The ‘new age’ movement is taking the world by storm, with its false concepts of meditation where people try to meditate on the God within themselves. The only meditation I want to do is meditating on the Word of God, meditating on the Scriptures, on the Psalms and Proverbs. The Bible says these signs indeed would be signs just before the coming of Jesus Christ.
2 – International conflict
Secondly, there would be international conflict. Jesus predicted: «You shall hear of wars and rumors of wars.» Now, notice that Jesus doesn’t say there will be a war. Folks, haven’t there been wars down through the centuries? Yes, but what did Jesus say?
There will be not a war, but wars and rumors of wars. «For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom.» Universal war, conflict on a global scale, conflict on an international scale.
As you and I look out over our world today, it’s well to remember that in this century, we have seen World War I and World War II. In World War I, there were some 20 million deaths. In World War II, some 50 million deaths. This century has experienced the Korean conflict, the Vietnam war with a million South Vietnamese, half a million North Vietnamese, and thousands of Americans killed. In fact, with the Indochina war, taking tens of thousands of lives, the Algerian war, the Bosnia-Herzegovina war, and tribal wars in Africa, the 20th century is the bloodiest century of them all!
Ladies and gentlemen, these prophecies are indeed being fulfilled before our very eyes. Wars and rumors of wars exploding in this century. Jesus’ sign that false christs and false prophets will arise are indeed being fulfilled in the occult, spiritualism and the ‘new age’ movements. Jesus’ sign of wars and rumors of wars and conflict and strife are indeed occurring around the world. Jesus goes on, as He discusses it with His disciples, in Luke 21:25: «And there shall be…..upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity, the sea and the waves roaring.» Distress of nations! The marching feet of the armies throughout the world indicate that we are on the verge of the kingdom of God.
3 – Potential for worldwide destruction
Sign number three: Jesus would come at a time in which the world would have the potential for world destruction. Never before in history has the human race had the capacity to destroy itself, never before in history have we armed ourselves to the teeth! Only in this century could the human race destroy itself. Thermonuclear warfare is a new introduction into our society. And the Bible says, in the book of Revelation (Revelation is the last book in the Bible, written to the last generation of men and women that would live on Planet Earth) in Revelation 11:18, that Christ would come to — do what, friends? (read it with me, please) — to «destroy them which destroy the earth.» So, Jesus would come at a time in which the human race would have that capacity. Jesus would come at a time when the human race would have the wherewithal, the scientific technology, to destroy all life on our planet called Earth.
Indeed, we have that capacity tonight. Never before in history have we had the kind of nuclear potential that we have tonight. In fact, Sir Charles Snow said this: «We know with certainty of statistical truth that if enough of these weapons are made by enough states, some of them are going to blow up through accident, folly, or madness. You cannot continue to build nuclear weapons without some nation using them.» At least five nations are known to have nuclear capacity, and many other nations are developing that nuclear capacity. You say, «But I thought that we have defused the nuclear threat!» Well, if you have 11,500 nuclear warheads, and you drop it down by 3,500, and you still have 8,500 left, it’s like saying, «Well, you got on an airplane and they had eleven bombs but you took three away, so you have a lot of confidence flying now because they only have eight, right?» I praise God for all efforts toward peace, but the truth of the matter is, this world is a very dangerous place. But Jesus says, «Let not your heart be — what, everybody? Let not your heart be what? — troubled.» We are defusing the nuclear threat. But there is a concern, and I would like to suggest to you that the world is less safe tonight than it was ten years ago.
Now you may want to debate that question, but follow my reasoning…..in ‘Time’ magazine’s article, «What About the Nukes?» Under the former Soviet Union, before the breakup of the Soviet Union, nuclear arsenals were guarded carefully. Since the break up of the Soviet Union, there are nuclear missiles, of course, still in Russia. There are nuclear missiles in Kazakstan, and there are nuclear missiles in the Ukraine. Since the breakup of the former Soviet Union, there has been some laxness in security, and there is evidence that some nuclear-grade material has been sold, possibly to Iran, according to ‘U.S. News and World Report.’ Did you read the report about some nuclear material getting in the hands of undesirables, who were arrested in Munich, Germany? What about that nuclear cache that was being sold in the Baltic States? In fact, ‘Popular Mechanics’ had a front page article called, «When Terrorists Go Nuclear.» Now this is frightening! In fact, January 1996, ‘Popular Mechanics’ said, «If a terrorist group or rogue state gets a hold of such material from smugglers, it may solve the single most difficult problem in building a bomb. What if certain officials in the cash-starved former Soviet Union sold their plutonium and other nuclear-grade material? What if it went into the hands of terrorist states in the Middle East or other parts of the world? Radicals…..what if they held some western states hostage? That scenario, according to some leading thinkers, is very possible.
But, friend of mine, Jesus says that He will come at a time that the human race has the capacity to destroy itself and that things will become unwieldy before the time of the end. But, thank God, Jesus says, «Let not your heart be troubled!» No, this world will not be destroyed in some spinning global blast, although Walter Lippmann, the columnist, says, «We are poised on the brink of the most calamitous conflict that can be imagined. Indeed, it cannot even BE imagined.» The good news is that Christ is on the way. The good news is that the second coming of Jesus is the blessed hope for a world that is in deep trouble.
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